Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 88.622881 98.225010 108.016821 118.724004 130.077820 141.734630 154.583069
2026-02-01 68.617297 82.305705 96.927329 113.598827 131.974438 151.510340 173.750386
2026-02-08 55.209624 71.565828 89.828111 111.457107 136.111877 163.098291 194.630453
2026-02-15 46.256760 64.573637 85.884488 111.990446 142.615167 176.952360 217.920157
2026-02-22 40.748303 60.843636 85.091255 115.659283 152.374757 194.340484 245.233202
2026-03-01 35.333696 56.500021 82.981555 117.295396 159.423944 208.424554 268.717270
2026-03-08 29.835660 51.342477 79.287219 116.511957 163.205323 218.429315 287.311990
2026-03-15 26.233249 48.272364 77.889471 118.290402 169.886001 231.748812 309.765887
2026-03-22 23.932122 46.734953 78.286358 122.194414 179.103218 248.096206 335.873123
2026-03-29 21.436428 44.596907 77.633159 124.547131 186.249563 261.868208 358.895159
2026-04-05 19.537247 43.129954 77.734724 127.770859 194.429071 276.888010 383.462073
2026-04-12 17.455151 41.113583 76.864738 129.537890 200.634486 289.416352 404.996776
2026-04-19 13.746236 35.941434 71.081561 124.342377 197.635155 290.419870 412.473495
2026-04-26 11.086242 32.161585 67.054060 121.336854 197.341686 294.725473 423.991497
2026-05-03 9.210387 29.513537 64.542924 120.315853 199.590097 302.213038 439.476705
2026-05-10 7.992107 27.955587 63.631308 121.528664 204.828645 313.551357 459.853269
2026-05-17 7.418584 27.662399 64.753198 125.747697 214.233380 330.365535 487.270604
2026-05-24 6.540088 26.541326 64.386327 127.665111 220.413408 342.972127 509.380480
2026-05-31 5.395161 24.556029 62.368892 126.941337 222.805804 350.550027 525.050571
2026-06-07 4.735407 23.617981 62.106386 128.873879 228.932214 363.079268 547.125491
2026-06-14 4.403869 23.478521 63.259161 133.023843 238.247683 379.904648 574.826743
2026-06-21 3.920838 22.815313 63.389678 135.522029 245.185076 393.570305 598.486452
2026-06-28 3.578448 22.482507 64.099937 138.930333 253.442098 409.033243 624.530734